Of Jason McIntyre
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
The world Cup it will be here before you know it! Yes, we are seven months from the start of the World Cup in Qatar, but now that the groups have been set, the market has adjusted the future odds. This is why it’s time to knock down some odds and take down a couple of early bets.
It’s rare to see underdogs run away and take the Cup, as the same half-dozen teams usually dominate the tournament. France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Brazil and Argentina have won the last 13 Cups, dating back to 1970. But we have seen some outsiders sneak into the semifinals over the past decade in Turkey, Croatia and Belgium, which intrigued me from the perspective of game.
Let’s dive in. Here are three long shots that could blow the party this winter, and a favorite that should go the distance, with odds courtesy of FOX Bet.
England: +550 to the FOX bet (bet $ 10 to win $ 65 in total)
First, let’s take a look at the one you should enter now, The Three Lions. One of the top five favorites to take the title, England is fresh off the impressive run to the Euro 2020 finals (played in 2021 due to COVID-19). After impressive victories over Germany and Denmark, England lost to Italy in the PK.
England last won the World Cup in 1966 and have been heartbroken several times since. The team finished fourth in 1990, lost to Argentina in the round of 16 in 1998 after a red card from David Beckham and then there was a fourth place in 2018. But this will be the stronger team than England. have deployed.
Is there a better group of forwards than Harry Kane, Raheem Sterling and Manchester City teammates Phil Foden and Jack Grealish? The defense is loaded, with only one distinguished starter over 30 (Kyle Walker). If you are looking for the nits, the midfield is good, not great.
England are used to being disappointed, but anything less than reaching the final would be a disappointment.
Senegal: +6600 to the FOX bet (bet $ 10 to win $ 670 in total)
The largest market mover from the draw is Senegal. Lions of Teranga have gone from +8000 to a minimum of +6600.
There has been a lot of talk about how Senegal got here, defeating Mo Salah and Egypt in the “green laser pointer game”. And Senegal’s best player, striker Sane Mane, scored the winning penalty.
Mane is on par for most goals in the history of the national team (29) and plays football for Liverpool. The Senegalese roster has half a dozen EPL players and their best defender is Abdou Diallo, a PSG defender in the French top flight. So why did the big market move after the draw?
Because Qatar is the weakest team on the pitch and Ecuador is also not very strong. This leaves the Netherlands, a strong but aging team. The golden generation of Sneijder, van Persie and Robben are long gone, and the survivors (Blind, Wijnaldum, de Jong) are playing their latest Cup. Will Barcelona teammates Memphis Depay and Frenkie de Jong be enough to bring L’Orange?
We will find out right away at the start of the event, as the Netherlands will play Senegal in the first match. If they win, Senegal will become the Group favorite and could face the United States in the knockout stage. Remember, after the favorites, you are betting the route.
United States: +8000 to the FOX bet (bet $ 10 to win $ 810 in total)
The United States is by far the youngest team on the pitch with an average age of 24.3 years. Ecuador comes in second, at 26.3. The good news is that the stench of failing to qualify for the 2018 Cup is unrelated to this group, many of whom were teenagers at the time.
There is a possibility that the United States will not field a player aged 30 or older on the World Cup roster. Gone are the faithful Michael Bradley and Jozy Altidore; budding stars such as Christian Pulisic (Chelsea), Giovanni Reyna (Borussia Dortmund) and Weston McKennie (Juventus) enter.
On paper, this is a more talented side of the 2002 group that reached the quarter-finals of the 2002 World Cup. This is the most global talent the United States has ever had: 22-year-old Timothy Weah plays in the French top flight; 23-year-old Tyler Adams acts in Germany; Sergino Dest, 21, in Barcelona; Antonee Robinson, 24, for Fulham.
It is difficult to get in the way of the draw right now as the first opponent is not known. That match will be an unmissable victory, with England looming in the second game of Black Friday.
It looks like a Boom Cup for Americans. Not moving forward would be disappointing but understandable, but a run to the quarterfinals is a strong possibility.
Canada: +20000 to the FOX bet (bet $ 10 to win $ 2,010 in total)
The longest shot in this post is definitely Canada, which has never won a World Cup game. In fact, Canada have never scored a goal in World Cup history, and this is the first time they have qualified since 1986.
But now, the good news. The team scored a couple of impressive qualifying wins: 2-0 over the United States in January and then 2-1 over Mexico in November. Then they have the power of the stars in 21-year-old Alphonso Davies, who happens to be one of the best young defenders in the world and plays for Bayern Munich. In addition, 22-year-old forward Jonathan David paired with Cyle Larin forms a powerful pair of scorers. And most importantly, the draw features large opponents who aren’t quite what they were.
Belgium remain formidable with the trio of Lukaku (Chelsea), De Bruyne (Man City) and Hazard (Real Madrid), which led the team to third place in 2018 after reaching the quarterfinals in 2014. But fifth place at the Euros 2020 was seen as a disappointment. The best defender, Jan Vertonghen, will be 35 at the start of the Cup, and midfielder Axel Wiesel is 33. Canada could catch them dozing off at the opening.
A win or draw creates a big chance against an old Croatian side led by future 37-year-old legend Luka Modric, and their second best player is 33-year-old Ivan Perisic. A win in one of those first two games would undoubtedly propel them to the knockout stage.
Lines for each team to win the World Cup
Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports betting analyst and also writes on NFL and NBA Draft. He joined FS1 in 2016 and has appeared in all shows on the network. In 2017, McIntyre began producing NFL, college football, and NBA gambling content for FOX Sports. He had a gambling podcast for FOX, “Coming Up Winners,” in 2018 and 2019. Before joining FOX, he created The Big Lead website, which he sold in 2010.
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